Pre-tourney Rankings
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2010-11


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
66 Iona 0.0%   22 - 11 13 - 5 22 - 11 13 - 5 +8.0      +4.2 64 +3.9 68 73.4 57 +3.8 115 +3.8 3
102 Fairfield 0.0%   24 - 7 15 - 3 24 - 7 15 - 3 +4.0      +1.8 110 +2.2 100 66.1 224 +6.1 82 +8.6 1
110 Rider 0.0%   23 - 10 13 - 5 23 - 10 13 - 5 +3.5      +1.8 109 +1.7 114 72.1 72 +4.7 97 +4.5 2
129 St. Peter's 100.0%   15   20 - 13 11 - 7 20 - 13 11 - 7 +2.4      +0.9 141 +1.5 118 65.5 239 +3.6 116 +1.2 4
187 Canisius 0.0%   15 - 15 9 - 9 15 - 15 9 - 9 -1.2      -0.6 186 -0.6 185 67.6 182 -1.9 194 -1.5 6
188 Loyola Maryland 0.0%   15 - 15 10 - 8 15 - 15 10 - 8 -1.2      -0.6 184 -0.6 187 67.0 204 -1.7 191 +0.1 5
208 Siena 0.0%   13 - 18 8 - 10 13 - 18 8 - 10 -2.8      -1.5 213 -1.3 207 72.5 67 -2.5 202 -2.9 7
295 Niagara 0.0%   9 - 23 5 - 13 9 - 23 5 - 13 -8.6      -4.5 300 -4.2 295 71.9 76 -7.5 280 -7.2 8
304 Manhattan 0.0%   6 - 25 3 - 15 6 - 25 3 - 15 -9.3      -4.6 303 -4.6 305 63.2 282 -10.0 309 -11.4 10
317 Marist 0.0%   6 - 27 3 - 15 6 - 27 3 - 15 -10.5      -5.2 315 -5.2 317 67.2 197 -10.2 310 -11.1 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Iona 2.0 100.0
Fairfield 1.0 100.0
Rider 2.0 100.0
St. Peter's 4.0 100.0
Canisius 6.0 100.0
Loyola Maryland 5.0 100.0
Siena 7.0 100.0
Niagara 8.0 100.0
Manhattan 9.0 100.0
Marist 9.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Iona 13 - 5 100.0
Fairfield 15 - 3 100.0
Rider 13 - 5 100.0
St. Peter's 11 - 7 100.0
Canisius 9 - 9 100.0
Loyola Maryland 10 - 8 100.0
Siena 8 - 10 100.0
Niagara 5 - 13 100.0
Manhattan 3 - 15 100.0
Marist 3 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Iona
Fairfield 100.0% 100.0
Rider
St. Peter's
Canisius
Loyola Maryland
Siena
Niagara
Manhattan
Marist


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Iona 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Fairfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Rider 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
St. Peter's 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15   2.7 33.9 63.3 0.1
Canisius 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Loyola Maryland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Siena 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Niagara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Manhattan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Marist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Iona 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rider 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Peter's 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 8.2% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Canisius 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Loyola Maryland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Siena 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Niagara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Manhattan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
2nd Round 8.2% 0.1 91.8 8.2 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 1.6% 0.0 98.4 1.6
Elite Eight 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0